Australian Resources Investment Conference Presentation
Released
Released
Announcement PDF
ASX Announcement
3 March 2016
The Company Announcement Officer ASX Ltd
via electronic lodgement
AUSTRALIAN RESOURCES INVESTMENT CONFERENCE
Please find attached a presentation to be given by Mr David Wrench at the Australian Resources Investment
Conference sponsored by Schroeder Equities to be held in Zurich Switzerland on Friday 4 March, 2016.
Yours faithfully
Sean McGuinness
Chief Financial Officer & Company Secretary
Strike Energy Limited ABN 59 078 012 745
www.strikeenergy.com.au
P: +61 2 9397 1420
E: strike@strikeenergy.com.au
120B Underwood Street, Paddington NSW 2021
STRIKE ENERGY LIMITED
SCHROEDER EQUITIES
AUSTRALIAN RESOURCES CONFERENCE
Zurich, March 2016
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
1
Strike Energy Limited Overview
Strike Energy Limited (ASX : STX) is an Australian based, independent oil and gas exploration and production company.
The company is focused on the development of a substantial gas resource in the Southern Cooper Basin to meet
Eastern Australian gas market demand.
Listing
ASX (ticker STX)
Issued Shares
833,330,946
Options/Performance Rights
40,150,000
Market Capitalisation
Cash at 31 December 2015
$91.6 million (26 February 2015)
$6.4 million
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
2
Executive Summary
Tightening gas market driving Eastern Australian gas price increases
Strike controls the only new, large scale gas project with the essential
pre-requisites for successful development
Southern Cooper Basin Gas Project (SCBGP) targeting early cashflow generation
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
3
Eastern Australian Gas Market: Supply tightness emerging
Australia’s east coast gas demand has historically been supplied from conventional reserves in the Cooper Basin (SA) and the Gippsland
Basin in Bass Strait. These reserves are in decline. Substantial new CSG resources have been developed in Queensland, however they and
the majority of existing Cooper Basin reserves have been committed to export markets. The domestic market is still ‘short’ gas and new
supply options are needed to meet forecast demand.
Gas production – last 40 years
Reserves
Export demand
Developed
Mount Isa
Gladstone
Moomba
Demand – next 20 years
Brisbane
6
Tcf
+30 Tcf
Undeveloped
~30 Tcf
Moomba 1
Tcf
Eastern Australia
domestic demand
Sydney
Adelaide
Melbourne
9 Tcf
6
Tcf
10 Tcf
Hobart
~15 Tcf produced
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
~7 Tcf conventional resources;
+30 Tcf CSG reserves
40 Tcf required
4
Eastern Australian gas market: Gas price trending higher
Eastern Australian gas prices are trending up – the only energy market in the world to be experiencing price increases.
Eastern Australian gas prices are responding to market tightness
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
5
Eastern Australian Gas Market: Substantial opportunity for Strike
2C
Prospective
Resource + Contingent
Resource
PEL 94
2,702 Bcf^
PEL 95
3,817 Bcf^
PEL 96
4,492 Bcf*
Total
11,011 Bcf
PEL 96 Phase
One Area
1,123 Bcf*
Moomba
Marsden 1
104 Bcf*
Davenport 1
PEL 94
STX 35%
PEL 95
STX 50%
Mount Isa
Gladstone
Le Chiffre 1
Klebb production
testing area
Moomba
PELA 640
STX 100%
Brisbane
PEL 96
STX 66.67%
Sydney
Adelaide
0 20
Kilometers
Melbourne
PEL 96 Phase One Area
Strike Phase One Area wells drilled
Gas Pipeline
Strike Wells Drilled
Oil Pipeline
PEL 96 Offset Wells
Strzelecki Track
PEL 96 and PELA – STX Operated
* Mean estimate (net to Strike determined on a probalistic basis) per ASX announcement dated 19 Feb 2014 and adjusted for announced
contingent resource estimate per ASX announcement dated 27 April 2015.
^ Mean estimate (net to Strike determined on a probalistic basis) per ASX announcement dated 19 September 2012.
+ The estimated quantities of petroleum that may potentially be recovered by the application of a future development project relate to
undiscovered accumulations. These estimates have both an associated risk of discovery and a risk of development. Further exploration
appraisal and evaluation is required to determine the existence of a significant quantity of potentially movable hydrocarbons.
Hobart
PEL
Net STX Acres
PEL 94
77,925
PEL 95
160,248
PEL 96
443,880
PELA 640
850,786
Total
1,532,839
Strike has an ideally positioned long-life multi-Tcf resource to supply into ~40 Tcf
Eastern Australian gas demand over the next twenty years
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
6
Eastern Australian Gas Market: Substantial opportunity for Strike
Strike’s multi-Tcf gas resource, directly connected to the ~40 Tcf Eastern Australian gas market, is ideally placed to be a competitive
supply solution. In the short term, Strike plans to develop an initial project targeting domestic gas customers and early cashflow. The
establishment of a world-scale, low cost resource then provides a future opportunity to supply cost competitive gas for export.
Strategic objectives
Mount Isa
Gladstone
Brisbane
Moomba
Short term
New source of
affordable gas
supply for east coast
domestic customers
>1 Tcf over 20 years
Sydney
Adelaide
SCBGP
(11 Tcf)
Supply targets
Melbourne
Medium term
Hobart
Cost competitive third
party gas supply for
LNG exporters
up to 5 Tcf over
20 years
Strike has positioned the Southern Cooper Basin Gas Project as a long-life resource
for domestic and export gas supply
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
7
Southern Cooper Basin Gas Project: Key activities/milestones 2013-2016
In less than three years Strike has used a disciplined approach to rapidly progress from a large multi-Tcf resource discovery, to
technical feasibility and towards commercial feasibility.
Funding
Building to
commercial gas flows
Key activities/milestones 2013 – 2016
$38 million
Dec 2013
Orica
250 PJ GSA
Gas Offtake
$17 million
1
Orora
45 PJ GSA
Dec 2014
Dec 2015
Orica
prepayment
Brickworks
12.5 PJ Termsheet
Demonstration
FLOW
Facility
Design
4.5 Tcf
Prospective
Resource
Sustained
gas flows
155 Bcf 2C
Certification
Flow Testing – Gas Rates Building
R&D Funding2
$17 million
Klebb 2/3
Frac
Le Chiffre 1
Klebb 1 frac
Strike
Shareholder Funds
$4 million
Klebb 1
140+m net coal
Le Chiffre 1
100+m net coal
Klebb 1
Workover
Klebb 3
Drill, complete
Klebb 2
Drill, complete
Klebb 4
Drill
1 Includes a combination of funding
from Strike gas buyers.
2 Includes R&D funds received or
advanced to date.
Strike has successfully developed an innovative mix of funding sources
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
8
Southern Cooper Basin Gas Project: Essential pre-requisites for development
A successful gas resource development needs to deliver on
all of the essential pre-requisites below
Scale
Location
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
Low Supply Cost
Capital-lite
Industry Support
9
Southern Cooper Basin Gas Project: Essential pre-requisites for development
Scale
Location
Low Supply Cost
PEL 94
STX 35%
Industry Support
PEL 95
STX 50%
PEL 96
STX 66.67%
PELA 640
STX 100%
Drives low-cost outcomes
Capital-lite
Materiality that
encourages industry support
and collaboration
11 Tcf
Potential for domestic
and ultimately export
supply solution
The project has the scale to provide substantial new gas supply for Eastern Australian customers
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
10
Southern Cooper Basin Gas Project: Essential pre-requisites for development
Scale
Location
Low Supply Cost
Capital-lite
Industry Support
Cooper Basin – key hub for
Eastern Australian gas markets
Gladstone
SCBGP is directly connected to
Eastern Australian gas pipeline network
~$1/GJ
Moomba
Roma
(Wallumbilla hub)
~$1/GJ pipeline tariff to all major markets
Brisbane
SCBGP
Access to well established oil field services in
Moomba
Strike has developed positive relationships with
key community and government stakeholders
~$1/GJ
<$1/GJ
Adelaide
Sydney
Melbourne
Cooper Basin is the ideal location for new supply to all major demand centres
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
11
Southern Cooper Basin Gas Project: Essential pre-requisites for development
Scale
Low Supply Cost
Location
Well type curve
Capital-lite
Industry Support
PEL 96 well full cycle costs (undiscounted)
Cumlative production(PJ)
Stable production phase
5
10
Years
15
Well capex (drill/complete/connect)
Other capex (gathering/processing) + Opex
$3.5m
$13.5m
Total
$17.0m
20
Ex-field gas costs
Ex-field gas costs
($/GJ)
5.50
Target ex-field cost
Higher EURs drive
lower unit costs
3.50
3
4
5
EUR/well (PJ)
Strike is targeting low cost Cooper Basin gas supply
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
12
Southern Cooper Basin Gas Project: Essential pre-requisites for development
Scale
Low Supply Cost
Location
Capital-lite
Industry Support
Strike’s analysis highlights the steepness of the Eastern Australian gas supply cost curve. Strike’s Southern Cooper Basin Gas Project
has the potential to be a low cost producer.
Eastern Australian demand (PJ)
10,000
1
20,000
New STX target supply
Estimated unit cost of supply $/GJ
1
Strike Southern Cooper
PEL 96
30,000
Average supply cost
40,000
50,000
Current 20 years demand forecast
Gippsland Basin JV
Queensland JV CSG ‘equity’
gas sweet spots
Other Victorian
Strike’s Southern Cooper
Basin Gas Project
Cooper Basin conventional
Queensland JV CSG ‘equity’
gas – Tier 2
Queensland JV CSG ‘equity’
gas – Tier 3
Queensland CSG third party
The lower the unit cost the larger the market opportunity
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
13
Southern Cooper Basin Gas Project: Essential pre-requisites for development
Scale
Location
Low Supply Cost
Typical ‘greenfields’ development upfront capital
Downstream
Infrastructure
Industry Support
SCBGP upfront capital
X
Export facilities
Gas
Transport
(pipelines)
X
Pipelines
Gas storage
Upfront
capital
Gas
Processing
and
Compression
Upstream
Capital-lite
Field processing/
compression
facilities
Drilling and
completion
X
Export
infrastructure
already built
PEL 96
connected
to network
3rd party gas
processing and
compression
Innnovative well design
High EURs (i wells)
Staged development
Upfront
capital
Strike’s capital-lite development model is an agile solution allowing Strike to focus
its capital and expertise on upstream production
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
14
Southern Cooper Basin Gas Project: Essential pre-requisites for development
Scale
Location
Low Supply Cost
Signed GSA’s evidence the
collective industry intent
to facilitate new gas supply
into the Eastern Australian
gas market.
Additional stakeholders
recognise the emerging
significance of the SCBGP.
Industry Support
Capital-lite
Mount Isa
Gladstone
Moomba
Brisbane
Roma
(Wallumbilla hub)
3rd party gas
processing and compression
Sydney
Adelaide
Melbourne
Hobart
pipelines
Strike’s strategic domestic objective is rapidly gaining industry support and momentum
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
15
Southern Cooper Basin Gas Project: Essential pre-requisites for development
Over the past few years Strike has been able to demonstrate the SCBGP is the only project of scale
that can deliver on the essential pre-requisites for successful development
Scale
Location
Low Supply Cost
Capital-lite
Industry Support
Well costs
Building to commercial
gas flows
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
16
Southern Cooper Basin Gas Project: Status update
Operations Update
Record gas volumes produced in February 2016 with
increases in peak and average gas flow rates at Klebb
2 and Klebb 3.
A series of tests at both wells have confirmed that gas
flows build in line with a consistent type curve while
water production is maintained above the minimum
threshold rate. Gas flows are then only constrained
by the current jet pumps’ capacity to simultaneously
handle water and the increasing gas volumes.
Extrapolation of these gas production type curves give
confidence that commercial gas flows will be achieved
as production constraints are removed.
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
17
Southern Cooper Basin Gas Project: Targeting cashflow generation
Sales
Gas sales
Processing
and
compression
Cashflow
Demonstration Project
Klebb 1, 2, 3 & 4
Production Wells
Production
NEXT STEPS
Klebb 2 and Klebb 3 pump
Klebb 4 frac and completion -
upgrade in March - substantially
increase gas production capacity.
submersible pump to deliver an
unconstrained production test.
Demonstration project engineering design.
Modest incremental investment will enable the project to generate cashflow
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
18
Southern Cooper Basin Gas Project: Potential scale
San Juan Basin, New Mexico
Southern Cooper Basin Gas Project
PEL 95
PEL 94
Fruitland Coal Fairway
PEL 96
PELA 640
San Juan Basin Outline
PEL 96
Fruitland Coal Fairway
Productive acres
300,000
Acres (8/8)
665,820
Cumulative production
16 Tcf
Prospective Resource 1
4.5 Tcf
Wells
7,800
Wells
5
1 Prospective resources net to STX, inferred permit resource 6.75 Tcf
The San Juan Basin, New Mexico is an indicator of the commercial scalability of Strike’s gas resource
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
19
Southern Cooper Basin Gas Project: Potential value
The graph below highlights the revenue potential of fully developed Eastern Australian onshore gas resources.
Est. ex-field revenue $ Billions
$75B
@ $5/GJ
1 Tcf = 1,000 Bcf
1 Bcf ~1 PJ
1 PJ = 1,000,000 GJ
@ $7/GJ
1 Tcf ~ 1,000,000,000 GJ
$50B
$25B
$5B
1 Tcf
5 Tcf
10 Tcf
Notional gas field size
Successful development of a large scale resource has the potential to create substantial value
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
20
Opportunity summary
Tightening gas market driving Eastern Australian gas price increases
Strike controls the only new, large scale gas project with the essential
pre-requisites for successful development
Southern Cooper Basin Gas Project (SCBGP) targeting early cashflow generation
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
21
Important Notice
This presentation does not constitute an offer, invitation or recommendation to subscribe for,
or purchase any security and neither this presentation nor anything contained in it shall form
the basis of any contract or commitment.
Reliance should not be placed on the information or opinions contained in this presentation.
This presentation does not take into consideration the investment objectives, financial
situation or particular needs of any particular investor. Any decision to purchase or subscribe
for any shares in Strike Energy Limited should only be made after making independent
enquiries and seeking appropriate financial advice.
No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy,
completeness or correctness of the information, opinions and conclusions contained in this
presentation. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Strike Energy Limited and its affiliates
and related bodies corporate, and their respective officers, directors, employees and agents
disclaim liability (including without limitation, any liability arising from fault or negligence) for
any loss arising from any use of or reliance on this presentation or its contents or otherwise
arising in connection with it.
Statements contained in this presentation, including but not limited to those regarding the
possible or assumed future costs, performance, dividends, returns, production levels or
rates, oil and gas prices, reserves, potential growth of Strike Energy Limited, industry growth
or other projections and any estimated company earnings are or may be forward looking
statements.
Contingent Resource Estimate
DeGolyer and MacNaughton was engaged by Strike to undertake an Independent Review of
the gas resource in PEL 96 based on the data and information acquired to date by Strike from
the drilling and flow testing programs carried out at the Le Chiffre 1 and Klebb 1, Klebb 2 and
Klebb 3 wells.
DeGolyer and MacNaughton has estimated a contingent gas resource on a probalistic basis for
the initial zones that have been flow tested within the Le Chiffre 1 and Klebb 1 wells. As these
zones only represent a portion of the net coal encountered at these locations, successful flow
testing of additional zones will enable an increased contingent resource to be booked.
The table below summarises the Contingent Resource Estimates.
Contingent Gas Resource Estimates – PEL 961
Well
1C2
2C2
3C2
Productive area (acres)
2,171
2,938
3,931
Le Chiffre 1 – Patchawarra Vu
Upper and Vu Lower zones (bcf)
62.9
93.2
132.4
Klebb 1 – Patchawarra Vu Upper
zone 9 (bcf)
42.1
62.2
93.3
Total Gross Contingent Resource
(bcf)
105.00
155.4
225.7
Such statements relate to future events and expectations and as such involve known and
unknown risk and uncertainties, many of which are outside the control of Strike Energy
Limited. Actual results, actions and developments may differ materially from those expressed
or implied by the statements in this presentation.
1.
Subject to any continuing obligations under applicable law and the Listing Rules of ASX
Limited, Strike Energy Limited does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or
revise any of the forward looking statements in this presentation or any changes in events,
conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.
Contingent Resource Estimates have been prepared in accordance with the Petroleum
Resources Management System “PRMS”. Contingent Resource Estimates are those
quantities of gas (produced gas less carbon dioxide and fuel gas) that are recoverable
from known accumulations but which are not yet considered commercially recoverable.
2.
1C, 2C and 3C estimates in this table are P90, P50 and P10 respectively for each well and
have been summed arithmetically
3.
Net to Strike’s 66.7% interest in PEL 96
Strike Energy Limited – Schroeder Equities – Australian Resources Conference
22
���ortant
�otice� continue�
Important Notice: continued
Competent Persons Statement
Competent Persons Statement
The information in this presentation that relates to the PEL 96, PEL 95 and PEL 94 contingent
resources
has in
been
from thethat
independent
reports
as prepared
byPEL
DeGolyer
Theestimate
information
thistaken
presentation
relates to the
PEL 96,
PEL 95 and
94 contingent
and MacNaughton,
a
leading
independent
international
petroleum
industry
consultancy
firm,
resources estimate has been taken from the independent reports as prepared by DeGolyer
and hasand
been
reviewed
by
Mr
Chris
Thompson
(Chief
Operating
Officer
of
the
Company).
All firm,
MacNaughton, a leading independent international petroleum industry consultancy
other reported
resource
and orbyreserves
in thisOperating
presentation
is based
and fairlyAll
and has been
reviewed
Mr Chrisinformation
Thompson (Chief
Officer
of theon,
Company).
represents,
prepared
under information
the supervision
of Mr
Thompson.
otherinformation
reported resource
andby,
or or
reserves
in this
presentation
is based on, and fairly
represents, information prepared by, or under the supervision of Mr Thompson.
Mr Thompson holds a Graduate Diploma in Reservoir Evaluation and Management and Bachelor
of Science
Degree in Geology.
He is a member
SocietyEvaluation
of Petroleum
andand
has
Mr Thompson
holds a Graduate
Diplomaof
inthe
Reservoir
and Engineers
Management
workedBachelor
in the petroleum
a practicing
engineer
for overof20Petroleum
years. MrEngineers
of Scienceindustry
Degree as
in Geology.
He isreservoir
a member
of the Society
Thompson
a qualified
reserves
and as
resources
evaluator
within
the meaning
and is
has
worked inpetroleum
the petroleum
industry
a practicing
reservoir
engineer
for overof
20the
years.
ASX Listing
Rules andisconsents
to the
inclusion
in this release
of the resource
or reserves
Mr Thompson
a qualified
petroleum
reserves
and resources
evaluatorand
within
the meaning
information
theListing
form and
in whichtothat
information
is presented.
of theinASX
Rulescontext
and consents
the inclusion
in this
release of the resource and or
reserves information in the form and context in which that information is presented.
About DeGolyer and MacNaughton
About DeGolyer and MacNaughton
The information contained in this release pertaining to the PEL 96 contingent resources
Theis information
contained
in this release
pertaining
to the PEL
96 contingent
resources
estimate
based on, and
fairly represents,
information
prepared
under
the supervision
of Mr
estimate isSenior
basedVice
on, and
fairly represents,
prepared Mr
under
the supervision
Paul Szatkowski,
President
of DeGolyerinformation
and MacNaughton.
Szatkowski
holds aof Mr
Paul
Senior
Vice President
of DeGolyer
and
MacNaughton.
Szatkowski
holds
Bachelor
of Szatkowski,
Science degree
in Petroleum
Engineering
from
Texas
A&M, has inMr
excess
of 40 years
a Bachelor
of Science
in Petroleum
Engineering
from Texas
A&M, and
has in
of 40
of relevant
experience
in thedegree
estimation
of reserves
and contingent
resources,
is excess
a member
years of relevant
experience
in the estimation
of reserves
and contingent
resources,
and is a
of the International
Society
of Petroleum
Engineers and
the American
Association
of Petroleum
member
of the International
Society
of Petroleum
Engineers
and the American
of
Geologists.
Mr Szatkowski
is a qualified
petroleum
reserves
and resources
evaluator Association
within
Petroleum
Geologists.
MrRules
Szatkowski
is a qualified
reserves
and resources
evaluator
the meaning
of the
ASX Listing
and consents
to thepetroleum
inclusion of
the contingent
resource
within
the information
meaning of the
ASXform
Listing
andinconsents
to the
inclusion ofis the
contingent
estimate
related
in the
andRules
context
which that
information
presented.
resource estimate related information in the form and context in which that information is
presented.
�hi�e not
�et co��ercia�, these resu�ts con�r� that the coa�s �i�� �e ca�a��e o� su�stantia� �as
�ro�uction rates an� hi�h�� econo�ic �er �e�� reco�eries as the reser�oir �ressure is re�uce� at
While
not yet �ro�
commercial,
these results confirm that the coals will be capable of substantial
increasin�
�istances
the �e��s�
gas production rates and highly economic per well recoveries as the reservoir pressure is
reduced at increasing distances from the wells.
Strike Energy
Limited
– Zurich
Presentation,
March
2016
Strike Energy
Limited
– Schroeder
Equities
– Australian
Resources Conference
2323
Share your feedback
Discover